Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 2.324564 2.653178 3.012034 3.433085 3.913720 4.445448 5.078609
2025-08-24 1.831648 2.280843 2.815569 3.499437 4.351639 5.379795 6.716409
2025-08-31 1.556441 2.057624 2.690662 3.549768 4.687080 6.143828 8.156228
2025-09-07 1.338863 1.858688 2.547868 3.529758 4.895690 6.733323 9.401892
2025-09-14 1.160149 1.680170 2.399128 3.467513 5.019064 7.197286 10.500785
2025-09-21 1.027751 1.545818 2.289451 3.437003 5.169010 7.695325 11.679095
2025-09-28 0.913727 1.422522 2.178242 3.385306 5.272388 8.122722 12.780657
2025-10-05 0.886721 1.425776 2.252494 3.616294 5.819990 9.259492 15.071852
2025-10-12 0.817968 1.355180 2.203892 3.646569 6.050291 9.918016 16.660999
2025-10-19 0.778265 1.326432 2.217125 3.774757 6.446527 10.871523 18.817745
2025-10-26 0.714622 1.250824 2.145402 3.752193 6.584742 11.405429 20.307202
2025-11-02 0.659275 1.183590 2.080631 3.733431 6.724149 11.947938 21.854684
2025-11-09 0.597402 1.103101 1.992785 3.679057 6.820097 12.467063 23.498604
2025-11-16 0.559948 1.063660 1.975136 3.752716 7.162146 13.472842 26.176010
2025-11-23 0.523981 1.022587 1.949349 3.806620 7.469800 14.441497 28.883049
2025-11-30 0.482407 0.966033 1.888263 3.785152 7.627696 15.137962 31.127564
2025-12-07 0.440157 0.903473 1.808922 3.718353 7.686696 15.643563 33.036308
2025-12-14 0.406196 0.853920 1.749917 3.685611 7.809610 16.285819 35.293260
2025-12-21 0.373424 0.803325 1.683580 3.630133 7.877856 16.819687 37.372832
2025-12-28 0.372386 0.819725 1.756856 3.878020 8.618957 18.840523 42.923130
2026-01-04 0.351708 0.791315 1.732479 3.910510 8.890789 19.875639 46.373443
2026-01-11 0.341423 0.784823 1.754560 4.048083 9.411178 21.507981 51.371776
2026-01-18 0.319120 0.748770 1.707821 4.023867 9.557136 22.308435 54.495643